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US humanoid robot production could reach 300,000 to 400,000 units annually by 2030, according to JPMorgan. The forecast points to a major expansion in the country's robotics industry as companies prepare to move beyond testing and demonstrations.
The investment bank expects that by 2035, production will reach approximately 1.5 million units per year. The estimates consider an increasing interest in robots that can carry out activities in workspaces designed for humans.
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Currently, the industry is shifting towards commercial applications. Companies are exploring the use of humanoid robots for routine, repetitive tasks in workplaces that require regular human interaction. According to JPMorgan, this shift is driven by labor shortages and improving production economics.
"Labor shortages, improving economics and rising production capacity are boosting humanoid adoption in manufacturing, logistics and warehousing, as businesses look to automate repetitive tasks."
Industrial use, particularly in logistics and warehousing, is predicted to fuel the first growth spurt of humanoid robot adoption. The potential lies in automating repetitive processes and filling staffing voids within these sectors.
Automation has become one of the top trends as firms seek ways to boost efficiency. Robots can assist with specific manufacturing processes in workplaces designed for human employees.
An increase in manufacturing also indicates that priorities have shifted in the industry. Developers now aim at large-scale production and commercial application of their products, instead of solely showing them off.
However, the numbers presented regarding the production of humanoid robots represent industry forecasts rather than actual figures. To reach these numbers, companies need to boost production capacities and create a commercial market.
According to JPMorgan's projections, the US humanoid robotics market might see a significant boost over the coming decade. The projected increase from 300,000–400,000 units annually in 2030 to 1.5 million units by 2035 illustrates the growth JPMorgan expects.
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The coming years will show how quickly manufacturers can turn early deployments into sustained commercial demand. For now, industrial workplaces are expected to provide the first major market for humanoid robots.