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Anticipations regarding Nintendo Switch 2 have reached their highest peak. The next-gen Nintendo Switch console is set to launch on June 5, 2025. For a while, analysts and Nintendo Switch gamers have been predicting the sales of this upcoming console. Finally, Nintendo joined this speculation chart with its latest earnings report.
Nintendo's prediction that their upcoming console will sell 15 million units in its first fiscal year has shaken the gaming industry. This time the company has increased the price point of the console and set it at US$449.99. However, the sales projection shows the company’s confidence in the next-gen console and its potential to rejuvenate the company's hardware sales.
Nintendo Switch 2 promises to deliver a range of features. The pre-orders of the console are going on, and reportedly, Nintendo will produce around 6 million Switch 2 units at launch. Since the advanced features of the console have come to the surface, sales predictions have been going on in the community. While it’s good that Nintendo joins the discussion, the 15 million prediction has poured some cold water on the hype.
The 15 million prediction is not overwhelming compared to analyst expectations, averaging 16.8 million units. Nintendo didn’t explain the numbers, but it looks like the company is following its historical tendency: underpromise and overdeliver. This strategy works well every time as it manages investor expectations and pacifies potential market volatility.
Another reason for this lower sales prediction may be U.S. trade tariffs. Since the U.S. tariff is imposed, it has introduced uncertainties in profit margins and pricing strategies. Even after Nintendo shifted major parts of its production from China to Vietnam and Cambodia, it looks like the company is still in a dilemma.
Furthermore, Nintendo anticipates selling 45 million Switch 2 games within the same fiscal year, indicating strong software support and consumer engagement. The company also projects sales of 4.5 million units of the original Switch, bringing it closer to the lifetime sales record held by the PlayStation 2.
The risks and uncertainties are unavoidable, but still, Switch 2 seems to be become the fastest-selling console in its first financial year. The record of Nintendo consoles in their first few months has always been great. After its launch in 2017, Nintendo Switch has sold over 150 million Switch consoles in these eight years, including 17.79 million in the first 13 months. Therefore, Switch 2 will pick up a similar pace is what fans anticipate.
As the latest Nintendo Forecast report reveals:
Nintendo Switch 2 sales: 15 million units
Nintendo Switch 2 software sales: 45 million units
Nintendo Switch sales: 4.5 million units
Nintendo Switch software sales: 105 million units
In addition to hardware and software, Nintendo is expected to sell 45 million Switch 2 games in the fiscal year. Well, with the inclusion of titles like The Legend of Zelda, Super Mario, etc., this prediction makes sense.
The prediction from Nintendo has stirred the community, but it highlights a strategic balance between cautious optimism and market realities. The company has taken a defensive measure for the external challenges, but it looks like strong consumer interest and a robust software lineup will lead Switch 2 toward a successful launch.
However, leaving everything aside, it will be Nintendo Switch 2’s performance that will ultimately decide whether Nintendo will navigate a dynamic market landscape and sustain its legacy of innovation.
