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XRP is showing early signs of a possible recovery after losing more than 20% in June. The token briefly fell near $1.01 as a wider crypto sell-off reduced demand and pushed traders toward safer positions.
The decline marked XRP’s weakest monthly performance since February 2025. Still, several technical signals, steady exchange-traded fund inflows, and strong historical July returns have given traders fresh data to watch. Analysts have warned that the setup “does not confirm a full reversal” as XRP trades near key support levels.
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez reported that the Tom DeMark Sequential indicator issued a buy signal on XRP’s daily chart. Traders use the indicator to identify when a market trend may be close to exhaustion after several sessions of movement in one direction.
According to Martinez, similar XRP signals have sometimes preceded rebounds lasting between one and four daily candles. Nevertheless, the indicator only indicates the likelihood of a short-term recovery. It does not confirm that XRP has formed a lasting market bottom.
XRP has also formed a Morning Star Doji pattern across three daily candles. The pattern often appears after a strong decline when selling pressure starts to weaken and buyers begin entering the market. Martinez said the two signals together suggest that sellers “may be losing control,” although further price confirmation is still needed.
A recovery would first require stronger trading volume and a move above nearby resistance. XRP faces an initial barrier near $1.10. A confirmed break above that level could open a path toward $1.15 and then $1.20.
US-listed spot XRP ETFs recorded $15.63 million in daily net inflows on June 26, according to SoSoValue data. Total net assets across the funds reached $934.26 million while XRP traded near $1.05.
Bitwise recorded the largest daily inflow at $11.66 million. Franklin’s XRPZ fund followed with $3.97 million. Meanwhile, products managed by Canary, 21Shares, and Grayscale reported no daily net inflows.
Bitwise also held the largest amount of XRP ETF assets, with net assets valued at $293.49 million. Franklin’s XRPZ held $235.20 million, while Canary’s fund had $234.97 million.
The inflows show that some investment demand stayed active despite XRP’s June decline. However, ETF activity alone cannot determine the token’s next price move. Traders are also watching broader market conditions, Bitcoin’s direction, and market liquidity.
XRP traded near $1.06 on the four-hour chart while buyers defended the $1.05 area. The broader $1.00 level also remained an important base after holding during the latest market decline.
A move above $1.10 could support a recovery toward $1.15. Additional buying may then place the $1.20 resistance level in focus. Martinez identified $1.30 as a larger target, though XRP previously faced strong selling near that price.
Downside risks remain. XRP must hold support near $1.06 to prevent another test of $1.00. Martinez said a clear breakdown could expose lower realized-price zones near $0.80, $0.62, and $0.51.
Meanwhile, XRP has recorded positive returns in July in each of the past six years and most of those periods produced double-digit gains, including strong advances in 2020 and 2023. Still, analysts have cautioned that “past July gains do not guarantee another rally,” especially while market sentiment remains weak.
Also Read: XRP to $500: Ambitious Target or Realistic Scenario?
