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ETF inflows stay strong, but price continues to weaken amid low momentum and fragile derivatives data.
Support near $2 shows cracks as repeated tests increase the probability of a slide toward earlier 2025 levels.
Bearish trend holds as XRP trades below short-term EMAs and lacks clear catalysts for a reversal.
XRP price is trading at approximately $2.21 as of 27 November 2025, significantly lower than its mid-July peak of nearly $3.66. The decline brings the token closer to retesting price zones seen earlier in 2025, even as institutional interest strengthens through newly launched spot-XRP exchange-traded funds.
This article provides a detailed XRP price analysis that breaks down why momentum is weak, how pressure from derivatives data is rising, and what support levels could decide XRP’s next move.
Institutional demand for XRP increased through November. The Spot-XRP ETF launched by Canary Capital on November 13 attracted hundreds of millions of dollars in net inflows within its first few days. Other newly launched XRP ETFs have also added well over $400 million in inflows during the month.
Some market models estimate that these ETFs accumulate millions of XRP per day, creating a steady structural demand. However, this collection has not translated into a bullish rally. By 22 November, XRP fell close to $1.83 during intraday trading, marking a sharp decline for the week.
Also Read: How High Does XRP Need to Go to Surpass Bitcoin?
Open interest in XRP derivatives has been elevated but unstable in the last few weeks. Analysts describe the positioning as insufficient to support a sustained breakout, especially as the broader altcoin market is cautious.
With XRP trading more than 45% below its peak in July, the market lacks strong momentum. During periods without clear catalysts, such large drops usually increase the probability of further corrections.
Although inflows are substantial, markets may have expected aggressive accumulation after multiple ETF launches. If inflows slow down or normalize, ETF demand may not provide the strong support it offered during its launch phase.
The region around $2 remains an important short-term support level. Price action has repeatedly tested this area, and technical commentary suggests that a clean break below it could open the path toward $1.90, a zone where XRP traded earlier in 2025.
Also Read: Could a $2.50 XRP Investment Really Make You a Millionaire by 2035?
XRP trades below key short-term EMAs as it signals steady selling pressure. Momentum indicators hint at shrinking buying interest. Oversold conditions can create short rebounds, but the larger picture still points downward unless indicators flatten and price climbs back above important moving averages.
In April 2025, XRP largely traded between $1.90 and $2.00. With upward momentum limited and broader market risks rising, a return to that zone remains a realistic possibility, especially if ETF accumulation slows, market liquidity tightens, or macro concerns increase. Analysts note that ETFs provide consistent demand but cannot alone drive strong price growth without supportive market conditions.
ETF inflows show strong institutional confidence in XRP, but weak derivatives data, continued selling pressure, reduced excitement around ETF accumulation, and a fragile support level keep the token vulnerable to another fall toward the April 2025 lows near $1.60. XRP’s performance in the next few weeks will depend on whether the $2.01 support holds and whether ETF demand can counter the broader market slowdown.
1. Why is the $2 support zone so important for XRP traders today?
The $2 level acts as a guide for short moves since breaking it can pull the price toward older trading ranges quickly.
2. Can rising ETF inflows offset weak sentiment across the XRP market?
Large inflows add steady demand, but weak momentum and cautious trading often limit how much the price can react.
3. Why does XRP fall even when millions of tokens are bought daily?
Heavy selling, slow momentum, and unstable futures activity can outweigh steady buying and drag the price lower.
4. Could XRP revisit early 2025 levels if current pressure continues?
If support breaks and momentum stays weak, the market often returns to areas where strong activity formed before.
5. How does open interest help analysts judge XRP strength in real time?
Open interest shows how much capital sits in futures, which guides volatility levels and the firmness of trends.
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