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XRP is decoupling from Bitcoin and Ethereum, with the XRP/BTC pair breaking above long-term resistance in late 2024.
Market dominance is rising, with analysts targeting 5.92%, 8.87%, and 11.61% as key levels for sustained upside.
Short-term pullbacks test $3.21 support, but long-term momentum remains bullish amid regulatory tailwinds.
XRP has been pursuing its own path, showcasing strength in both price movement and market structure, among other aspects. Bitcoin and Ethereum, on the other hand, continue to hold their relative dominance. Technical indicators, market dominance, and price performance all point to XRP entering a crucial stage.
For years, XRP’s movements have largely mirrored those of Bitcoin and Ethereum, two assets that lead the crypto market. That correlation appears to be weakening.
According to crypto analyst Dark Defender, XRP began to outperform Bitcoin in late 2024. The XRP/BTC pair broke decisively above a long-standing downtrend resistance in December 2024, a technical milestone that signaled the start of a new phase for the altcoin.
Despite multiple Bitcoin all-time highs in 2025, XRP’s BTC pair has remained above that breakout line. At the press time, the XRP/BTC pair trades at 0.00002638, maintaining its strength even during BTC’s consolidation phases.
This suggests that XRP’s price drivers are becoming less dependent on BTC because of factors such as whale accumulation, favorable sentiment, and unique market catalysts.
XRP’s separation is evident in its performance metrics. Over the past 12 months, XRP has managed to gain nearly 550%, far surpassing Ethereum’s modest 6% rise in the same period.
According to Cointelegraph, XRP is up 49% Year-to-date, while Ethereum has managed only a 9.5% increase. This illustrates just how dramatically XRP has pulled ahead in this cycle.
Another bullish signal for XRP comes from its rising market dominance. Popular analyst EGRAG CRYPTO emphasizes that market share is a critical gauge for XRP’s trajectory.
His Fibonacci-based chart identifies 5.92% dominance as the first resistance level XRP needs to clear to accelerate higher. If breached, the next targets are 8.87% and 11.61%. Reaching the optimal 11.61% level, EGRAG notes, would confirm XRP’s leadership in this cycle.
With a maximum projection of 21.5% dominance, XRP could reach all-time high prices not seen since its peak in early 2018.
Beyond technicals, XRP has benefited from favorable regulatory and political developments. One notable catalyst came in July, when US President Donald Trump signed an executive order allowing cryptocurrency investments in 401(k) retirement accounts.
XRP jumped 11% immediately after the announcement, one of the strongest reactions among top digital assets.
The altcoin market as a whole has been rebounding. With Bitcoin consolidating near record highs around $120K, capital has been rotating into large-cap altcoins like XRP and Ethereum. This rotation, reported by Cinco Días, saw XRP gaining about 23% in mid-July, outpacing many other assets.
Despite its strong long-term structure, XRP is currently undergoing a short-term retracement, trading at $3.14 with a decline of 3.75% in the last 24 hours. The price hit $3.38 on August 8 before a pullback.
Analyst CasiTrades identifies key support at $3.21-$3.22, since it aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. This zone also represents a backtest of a prior breakout; this represents a relatively key area for continuing bullish structure.
Over the weekend, XRP saw a slight pullback, dipping under the critical $3.21 support level. Price action reached the 0.5 Fib retracement near $3.15 before finding support. Since that point, XRP has been struggling to maintain the $3.21 level.
This dip has not changed the overall bullish outlook. Supports are still being respected, and the higher timeframes are still aligned for an eventual breakout to new highs. Once XRP can break and hold above $3.21, it will open the door for a push into higher resistance levels.
Part of XRP’s strength lies in its infrastructure. The XRP Ledger (XRPL) is designed for high-speed, low-cost cross-border transactions, making it suitable for both institutional and retail payments.
This focused utility, combined with Ripple Labs’ growing network of payment partnerships, differentiates XRP from general-purpose blockchains like Ethereum, which prioritize smart contracts and decentralized applications.
Technical breakouts, increasing market dominance, and a positive macro backdrop result in a positive outlook for XRP as it heads into H2 of 2025.
If XRP can break the dominance targets of 5.92% and 8.87%, XRP could potentially enter a sustained outperformance phase that may pose a challenge to market leaders.
As always, traders and investors should not forget about volatility as XRP’s gains can easily lead to rapid corrections, particularly if Bitcoin experiences a more extended retracement or macro sentiment changes.
For now, the separation of XRP from Bitcoin and Ethereum is one of the most interesting narratives in the crypto space. Whether XRP’s independence leads to sustained leadership will depend on whether it can hold key support zones and expand its presence in the global financial system.
1. Why is XRP outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum in 2025?
XRP has broken a long-term downtrend against BTC and is gaining market share, fueled by whale accumulation and positive sentiment.
2. What are the key market dominance levels for XRP?
Analysts highlight 5.92%, 8.87%, and 11.61% dominance as critical resistance levels for confirming a bullish cycle.
3. What support levels are important for XRP right now?
The $3.21-$3.22 zone is crucial, with $3.15 as the next major support if the first level fails.
4. How have regulations impacted XRP’s price?
XRP saw an 11% jump after a U.S. executive order allowed crypto in 401(k) plans, showing sensitivity to policy changes.
5. What gives XRP a utility edge over other cryptocurrencies?
The XRP Ledger offers fast, low-cost cross-border transactions, appealing to institutions and differentiating itself from platforms like Ethereum.
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