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NVIDIA is the top trillion-dollar stock for long term investors in 2026 with nearly a 40% upside.
NVIDIA controls about 90% of data center GPUs, driving AI revenue growth, making it a high-growth stock.
Tesla shows 11% downside, while Broadcom and Microsoft offer 34-37% upside.
For long-term investors looking at trillion-dollar stocks in 2026, NVIDIA stands out as the strongest option right now based on the latest market data. Although Microsoft, Apple, etc are some of the top trillion dollar stocks, analysts see the highest upside potential in NVIDIA. The valuation is driven by the company’s strong position in artificial intelligence and data center hardware.
NVIDIA reached a market value of about $4.5 trillion by mid-january 2026. These figures make it one of the most valuable companies in the world. The stock was trading near $186 at the time of writing. Motley Fool analysts have set an average target price of $254, roughly 40% upside from current levels. That is the highest expected return among all trillion-dollar companies tracked by analysts.
NVIDIA is best known for its graphics processing units, or GPUs. These chips are the backbone of modern AI systems. They are used to train and run large AI models in data centers. NVIDIA controls close to 90% of the global data center GPU market, giving it a clear edge over rivals.
What makes NVIDIA stronger than others is that it does not sell chips alone. It also offers CPUs, networking tools, and a large software platform called CUDA. This software helps developers build and run AI systems more easily. Many competitors do not have this full setup, which keeps customers tied to NVIDIA’s products for longer periods.
Demand for AI tools is rising. Companies in tech, finance, health care, and manufacturing are spending more on AI systems. NVIDIA benefits directly from this trend because its hardware and software are used at every step, from training models to running them in real-world use.
NVIDIA’s future growth is not limited to data centers. The company is also deeply involved in self-driving cars and robots. It supplies chips and software that help train and test driving systems and power vehicles and machines in real time.
Industry forecasts show strong growth in these areas. Data center GPU sales are expected to grow at more than 35% a year through the next decade. Chips used in robotaxis and robots are expected to grow even faster. This gives NVIDIA several large growth paths, not just one.
Another key event to watch is NVIDIA’s next major chip platform, expected to launch in the second half of 2026. The new system is designed to be much faster than current versions, which could drive another upgrade cycle for customers.
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Even after a massive rally, NVIDIA’s stock is not seen as expensive compared with its growth. The shares are up more than 1,100% since early 2023, yet analysts expect earnings to keep rising at a fast pace. Expert estimates show NVIDIA’s profits growing close to 50% per year through 2028.
At current prices, the stock trades around 45 times forward earnings. While that sounds high, it is lower when matched with NVIDIA’s growth rate. This is why many analysts still see value in the stock despite its size.
Experts see clear gaps in upside among trillion-dollar stocks, with NVIDIA leading the pack as analysts expect nearly 40% upside to a $254 share price target from around $186, the highest in the group. Broadcom follows closely with about 37% upside, while Microsoft stock offers roughly 34% upside, supported by steady cloud growth. Tesla ranks last with an expected 11% downside, making it the least favored trillion-dollar stock currently.
Here is a comparison table of the world’s top trillion-dollar stocks to watch for 2026 based on a report by Motley Fool:
The top trillion-dollar stocks for long term investors for 2026 is NVIDIA. The stock stands out because it offers the highest upside at nearly 40%, backed by strong AI demand and market leadership. Broadcom and Microsoft remain solid alternatives, but their expected returns are slightly lower. NVIDIA stock is the top pick for long-term investors in 2026 with fast earnings growth, dominant market share, and multiple long-term drivers.
1. What is the best trillion-dollar stock in 2026?
NVIDIA is the best trillion-dollar stock for 2026 because analysts expect nearly 40% upside. Strong AI demand, dominant GPU market share, and fast earnings growth support this view compared with other mega-cap stocks.
2. Why do analysts expect NVIDIA stock to rise further?
Analysts believe that NVIDIA will continue to increase in value because its graphics processing unit (GPU) chips run most of the global AI datacenters. In addition, NVIDIA will continue to experience significant growth in sales through its recurring software revenues, continue to launch new chips, with new releases happening in the next 2 to 3 years, and that AI will continue to penetrate into all industries.
3. How does NVIDIA compare with Microsoft and Apple?
Microsoft and Apple continue to be long-term stable growth stocks for investors, but analysts are projecting only 34% growth in value (upside) for Microsoft and 11% for Apple. NVIDIA stands apart from these companies with its much higher anticipated growth rates for its companies and increasing AI utilization, and expected further growth in earnings over their competitors.
4. Is it too expensive to buy NVIDIA stock today?
At around 45x forward P/E, current prices for NVIDIA may seem like an expensive valuation for investors. However, according to analyst projections, NVIDIA's profit should grow close to 50% a year for the next 3 to 5 years, therefore when compared to their anticipated growth rate, it would appear to have a reasonable valuation.
5. Which of the trillion-dollar stocks has the weakest outlook?
Tesla has the weakest outlook of all trillion-dollar stocks and is currently projected by analysts to experience approximately -11% decline of value. Analysts cite the slowdown in EV demand, continued pressure on margins due to producers still facing challenging margin pressures, along with increased competitive product offerings being forced on electric vehicles from all manufacturers in their respective automotive/vehicle sectors will affect their future outlook.
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