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Currently at $94,752, Bitcoin's price may break away from traditional market cycles due to high interest rates and macroeconomic challenges. Analysts like Ki Young Ju and Darkfost suggest Bitcoin has reached new all-time highs, and political uncertainty, particularly with President Trump's reelection, adds to the uncertainty.
Bitcoin's price movements have consistently alternated between upward, sideways, and downward trends throughout its history. Analysts have often predicted market changes by examining Bitcoin's established price cycles. Recently, market patterns suggest that Bitcoin might deviate from its typical behavior.
Ki Young Ju, the founder of CryptoQuant, initially announced the end of the bull cycle in March 2025. However, after reassessing the market conditions, he now believes that Bitcoin could break away from its historical cycle trends. This revised viewpoint has added significant discussion regarding a potential shift in Bitcoin's market dynamics.
Darkfost presented his analysis of the current market trend through the social media platform X. Darkfost explained that, despite appearances, the current cycle follows similar patterns to those of prior cycles. The expert notes that Bitcoin's recent movements are strongly related to shifts in macroeconomic conditions.
During its past cycles, Darkfost pointed out that Bitcoin has never experienced this level of hostile conditions for risk assets. US Federal Reserve interest rates have established rates that make safer investment options more lucrative. Moreover, despite the adverse market conditions, Bitcoin set two new historic highs during this market cycle.
The analyst noted that the US two-year Treasury yield has surpassed long-term yields, an unusual occurrence of historical significance. Historically, this economic structure has prevented investments in riskier financing instruments. Bitcoin has demonstrated its resilience in the face of these intense circumstances, despite market difficulties.
Darkfost noted that Bitcoin maintained its positive performance despite risk markets not restoring complete liquidity. Recent performance trends suggest that global economic instability has altered investor perspectives on Bitcoin. Institutions and large investors appear more willing to allocate capital to Bitcoin despite safer investment alternatives.
Darkfost identified Donald Trump's reelection as president of the United States as one factor that could potentially create market instability. Political changes at both the investor and government levels can alter market behaviors and regulatory policies, leading to fluctuations in the Bitcoin price.
The analyst concluded that Bitcoin still operates within a recognizable cycle, but significant macroeconomic improvements could lead to the first truly unique cycle in the cryptocurrency’s history. If favorable conditions persist through 2026, Bitcoin could break away from its historic patterns entirely.
Bitcoin currently has a value of $94,752 with a minor market drop of 0.5% observed during the past day. Due to ongoing market uncertainty, investors and analysts closely monitor Bitcoin price fluctuations and macroeconomic indicators.
