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Bitcoin price today is around $109,437, holding support near $108,000 with resistance at $118,000.
Institutional moves, including MicroStrategy and Strive acquisitions, continue to shape the Crypto Market outlook.
Forecasts suggest Bitcoin could climb toward $126,000, but inflation risks and liquidations keep volatility high.
Bitcoin price is currently trading around $109,437, showing a decline of 2.1 percent from its previous close. The price has been moving between an intraday high of $112,167 and a low of $108,783, highlighting the high volatility in the market. In Indian currency, Bitcoin is valued at Rs. 9.7 million, which is Rs. 9,702,000. Over the last seven days, the value in rupee terms has dropped by more than five percent, reflecting weaker demand both globally and domestically.
The support zone for Bitcoin price today has formed around the $108,000–$110,000 range. If the price falls below $108,000 and sustains that breakdown, there is a strong possibility of it slipping toward $100,000 or even lower. On the upside, the region between $115,000 and $118,000 has acted as tough resistance, with repeated rejection whenever Bitcoin tries to move higher.
Chart patterns show Bitcoin has been moving inside a descending channel, bouncing between the upper and lower boundaries. The 200-day exponential moving average, currently around $115,000, remains a critical level. Holding above this average is vital for bullish sentiment. If Bitcoin remains below this point, the near-term outlook could turn more bearish.
At the same time, the three-month annualized volatility has dropped to 29 percent, the lowest in more than five years. This unusually low volatility indicates the market has quieted down. Historically, such calm periods are often followed by sharp movements, either upward or downward.
Also Read: Why is Bitcoin Dropping and BNB Gaining Momentum?
Large corporate and institutional players continue to influence Bitcoin sentiment. Strategy, the company formerly known as MicroStrategy, remains one of the largest Bitcoin treasury holders. Recently, insider selling by one of the executives before a price downturn raised eyebrows and created some negative sentiment around its role in the market.
Meanwhile, Strive, a company backed by Vivek Ramaswamy, announced the purchase of 5,816 BTC, worth nearly $675 million, to strengthen its reserves. Such large acquisitions demonstrate institutional confidence, but they also raise questions about timing, corporate governance, and dilution of equity. These developments feed directly into investor psychology and often have short-term impacts on the cryptocurrency’s price behavior.
Global macroeconomic conditions remain a strong driver of Bitcoin’s direction. Interest rates and inflation are key forces shaping capital flows. Recently, the crypto market experienced a round of deleveraging, partly triggered by concerns over inflation and the anticipated release of US personal consumption expenditures data. This metric is closely watched by the Federal Reserve as a measure of inflationary pressure.
Markets currently expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates further, possibly up to three times before the year ends. Such moves are considered positive for risk assets like Bitcoin, as lower rates reduce the cost of borrowing and encourage investment in alternatives. However, a surprise jump in inflation or a hawkish stance from the Fed could push investors back into safer assets, causing renewed pressure on Bitcoin.
Forced liquidations have played a large role in the recent market corrections. Traders using high leverage to take bullish positions faced margin calls as prices declined, leading to automatic selling. This wave of liquidations created additional downward pressure, causing Bitcoin to fall more quickly than usual.
During one of the latest declines, liquidations wiped out nearly $1.8 billion, mostly from long positions. This cascade effect spread beyond Bitcoin and also impacted other major cryptocurrencies. While painful for leveraged traders, such events often reset the market, clear out excess speculation, and lay the foundation for more stable future growth.
Market forecasts for September 2025 suggest a range of outcomes, though the bias is slightly positive. Some models predict Bitcoin could reach as high as $126,139, with an average target closer to $119,480. Others project a likely trading range of $115,700–$126,400 heading into October.
Weekly and monthly outlooks often point to modest upside of around three to four percent, as long as institutional inflows continue. On the long-term horizon, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong recently projected Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2030, citing government adoption, regulatory clarity, and institutional demand as the main catalysts. Though ambitious, such forecasts reinforce the belief in Bitcoin’s long-term potential and help shape investor sentiment.
Despite optimism, risks remain. A stronger-than-expected inflation reading or economic growth data could keep interest rates elevated for longer, hurting Bitcoin. Regulatory changes in major economies such as the United States, the European Union, or China could also reduce participation and create uncertainty.
Liquidity is another concern. In times of stress, a lack of liquidity can amplify selling pressure. If Bitcoin decisively breaks below $108,000, it could quickly move toward the $100,000 level. Moreover, if institutional buying slows down or investor attention shifts toward other assets, Bitcoin could lose momentum.
Also Read - Will Bitcoin Become a Central Bank Asset Like Gold?
Looking at the current situation, the most likely scenario is a range-bound market. Bitcoin may remain between $108,000 and $118,000, with gradual accumulation taking place near support levels.
In the bullish case, a breakout above $118,000 could open the way toward $120,000–$126,000. In the bearish case, a fall below $108,000 could accelerate selling and push Bitcoin closer to $100,000. With volatility at its lowest in years, the next major move could be significant once a strong trigger appears. Key events to watch include upcoming US inflation data, Federal Reserve commentary, and trends in institutional inflows.
Bitcoin recently experienced one of the largest deleveraging events of 2025, dragging the price down by nearly 4.6 percent over the week. Around the same time, shares of Strategy fell as its premium reduced and insider selling was reported.
The announcement from Strive regarding its purchase of 5,816 BTC worth $675 million highlighted that large corporations are still keen to add Bitcoin to their reserves. Earlier in mid-September, Bitcoin briefly climbed above $116,700 as optimism grew that the Federal Reserve might adopt a softer stance on monetary policy. However, those gains were quickly erased by renewed selling.
The selloff also led to massive liquidations worth $1.8 billion, mostly of long positions, which dragged other cryptocurrencies lower. Such episodes highlight the fragility of leverage-driven markets and underline the importance of managing risk.
Bitcoin remains in a decisive phase, with critical support near $108,000 and resistance between $115,000–$118,000. Short-term projections suggest the possibility of rising toward $126,000 if bullish triggers align. At the same time, risks from inflation, regulation, and liquidity cannot be ignored.
With volatility at multi-year lows, markets are waiting for a strong trigger that could lead to the next big move. Whether that move takes Bitcoin higher toward new targets or lower toward deeper corrections will depend on global economic conditions, institutional activity, and investor sentiment in the weeks ahead.
Q1. What is the Bitcoin price today?
The Bitcoin Price Today is around $109,437, trading between an intraday high of $112,167 and a low of $108,783.
Q2. What are the key support and resistance levels for Bitcoin?
Bitcoin has strong support around $108,000–$110,000 and resistance near $115,000–$118,000. A break above resistance may push it toward $126,000.
Q3. How is MicroStrategy influencing the Bitcoin market?
MicroStrategy, now called Strategy, remains one of the largest corporate holders of Bitcoin. Insider selling and treasury moves by the company often affect market sentiment.
Q4. What risks could impact the Crypto Market right now?
Major risks include inflation surprises, hawkish Federal Reserve policies, strict regulations, liquidity crunches, and forced liquidations of leveraged positions.
Q5. What is the Bitcoin price forecast for the near term?
Forecasts suggest Bitcoin may trade in the $115,700–$126,400 range in the coming months if institutional inflows remain strong, though downside risks persist.
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