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Oil Shock Hits Rupee: Indian Currency Drops 27 Paise to Rs. 95.79

The rupee weakened 27 paise to Rs. 95.79 against the US dollar in early Friday trade, extending its recent decline. Rising Brent crude prices above USD 108, geopolitical tensions in West Asia, and continued foreign investor outflows have added pressure on the Indian currency and increased concerns over India's import costs.

Written By : Soham Halder
Reviewed By : Manisha Sharma

The Indian rupee came under renewed pressure on Friday (September 11, 2026), falling 27 paise to Rs. 95.79 against the US dollar in early trading. The decline came as elevated crude oil prices and continued foreign portfolio outflows weighed on the domestic currency. The rupee had already weakened sharply in the previous session, closing at Rs. 95.46 per dollar, down 38 paise. 

Crude Oil Crosses USD 108

A major pressure point for the rupee remains the sharp rise in international crude prices. Brent crude moved above USD 108 a barrel. For India, higher oil prices can quickly translate into a larger import bill since the country relies heavily on imported crude to meet its energy requirements. 

The oil surge also affected broader financial markets. Indian equities fell sharply on Friday, with the Nifty 50 and Sensex sliding to their lowest levels in about three months amid inflation and global interest-rate concerns.

Foreign Outflows Add to Currency Pressure

Foreign investor selling has added another layer of pressure. Continued portfolio outflows increase demand for dollars as investors withdraw funds from Indian assets, making it harder for the rupee to recover. The rupee has now been under pressure for several consecutive sessions, with traders closely watching developments in global oil markets and West Asia.

The rupee's weakness is notable, as the Reserve Bank of India has also been conducting dollar/rupee sell-buy swaps for a second consecutive day, with much of the activity concentrated in December maturities.

"Such operations can drain excess rupee liquidity and support forward premiums, potentially offering some cushion to the currency," said Amit Pabari, MD and CEO of CrForex Advisors.

"These operations help drain surplus rupee liquidity and support forward premiums, which can provide support to the currency. Yet, the rupee continued to depreciate," said Pabari.

Also Read: Why India’s Rupee Rally May Struggle to Keep the Momentum

What Lies Ahead for the Rupee?

The near-term outlook will depend heavily on how long crude prices remain elevated. A prolonged period above USD 100 could increase India's energy import costs, widen external-sector pressures, and make the rupee more vulnerable.

Markets are also watching US bond yields and expectations around global monetary policy. Higher inflation risks linked to oil could limit the scope for easier interest rates worldwide. Unless oil prices ease or investor flows improve, the domestic currency is likely to remain volatile in the near term.

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