Cryptocurrency

Cryptocurrency Market Report July 2025: $3 Trillion Market Breakout, Bitcoin & Ethereum Lead the Charge

July 2025 Crypto Report: Bullish Trends and Breakouts Across Major Assets

Written By : Bhavesh Maurya
Reviewed By : Sankha Ghosh

July 2025 marked a dramatic shift from June’s preparatory phase into full-fledged market acceleration. After several weeks of compression and subdued volume, the cryptocurrency market broke out of its consolidation shell, with the total market capitalization climbing above the critical $3 trillion mark for the first time since late 2021.

The catalyst for this expansion was a blend of strong institutional inflows, sustained macroeconomic stability, easing regulatory overhangs, and increasingly favorable technical structures across major digital assets.

Bitcoin led the charge by setting fresh all-time highs, while Ethereum followed with a breakout, and Layer 1 ecosystems like Solana and Sui drew in significant capital rotation. Even meme coins and high-volatility assets like Dogecoin and PEPE saw surging interest.

Momentum across the board turned decisively bullish. Weekly candles across multiple charts flashed continuation signals, while key Fibonacci levels, moving averages, and chart patterns were reclaimed and surpassed. Altcoin dominance rose as Bitcoin’s market share narrowed, signaling optimism and liquidity spread.

This report offers a detailed technical and trend-based analysis of major cryptocurrencies Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), Solana (SOL), Ripple (XRP), Dogecoin (DOGE), Sui (SUI), and PEPE, capturing July's price structure, volume dynamics, chart patterns, and momentum setups.

Bitcoin (BTC)

Price Action and Chart Structure

Bitcoin opened in July near $107,000 and quickly found lift-off after reclaiming the $110K level. The month was defined by a powerful bullish impulse that sent BTC soaring to a new all-time high near $119,000 before consolidating modestly toward the $117,000-$118,000 range by month’s end.

A bullish flag formation emerged after the rally, showcasing continuation potential with price holding above the 10-day and 21-day moving averages. 

Weekly charts maintained higher highs and higher lows, solidifying the macro uptrend. The market showed sustained absorption of selling pressure around key resistances, particularly near $120,000.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum indicators maintained strength throughout July. The RSI hovered between 67 and 73, well into bullish territory, but not yet overbought. The MACD stayed positive across daily and weekly timeframes, with the histogram expanding throughout mid-July before plateauing near the highs.

Volume was steady, though not excessive, typical of a breakout following consolidation. The absence of extreme volatility suggested strength in the trend and confidence in price support near $115,000-$117,000.

Technical Outlook

  • Immediate Resistance: $121,000, then $130,000

  • Key Support: $116,000, $112,000, and $107,000

Bullish Case: A sustained daily close above $121,000 with accompanying volume could drive BTC toward $130,000 and initiate a potential move to $142,000.

Bearish Case: Failure to hold above $116,000 may lead to a retrace to prior support zones at $112,000 or lower.

Summary

Bitcoin’s performance in July was decisive. It not only reclaimed key technical levels but also formed new highs with structural stability. As the broader market follows Bitcoin’s lead, its ongoing consolidation above $117,000 suggests strength and confidence, positioning BTC as the engine for Q3’s bullish momentum.

Ethereum (ETH)

Price Action and Structural Overview

Ethereum outperformed expectations in July, surging over 48% from the $2,600 zone to close the month near $3,800. The rally was ignited by a “Golden Cross” between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, a historically bullish technical indicator.

ETH broke out of the $3,000-$3,200 congestion zone mid-month and approached the psychological $4,000 barrier. 

Price action formed a strong series of higher lows and higher highs, validating trend continuation. This bullish trajectory was supported by steady volume and institutional demand.

Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength

Momentum indicators remained firmly bullish throughout July. The MACD maintained a positive crossover, with a wide gap between the MACD line and the signal line. 

The RSI surged above 70 briefly before settling near 65, indicating healthy overbought conditions without immediate exhaustion.

ETH also showed strength against BTC, signaling relative outperformance, a key indicator of capital rotation favoring Ethereum.

Key Levels and Technical Outlook

  • Immediate Resistance: $3,940, followed by $4,150

  • Support Levels: $3,600, $3,250, and $3,050

Bullish Case: A decisive breakout above $4,000 would signal the start of a new rally phase, targeting $4,500 and eventually retesting all-time highs.

Bearish Case: A breakdown below $3,600 may trigger short-term pullbacks, though macro structure remains intact.

Summary

Ethereum’s performance was textbook bullish, with a reclaim of critical moving averages, high-volume breakouts, and technical leadership. With growing institutional interest and on-chain growth, ETH appears poised to test $4,000 and continue leading altcoin expansion.

Solana (SOL)

Price Action and Structure

Solana kicked off July with momentum, testing and briefly surpassing the $200 resistance mark. Price surged to $205 before entering a consolidation. 

The daily chart developed a cup-and-handle pattern, hinting at trend continuation, while the weekly structure retained a series of higher lows above the $160 support zone.

The rally was supported by strong liquidity and broad interest in Solana-based projects. Mid-month, the price retraced modestly but held above the $180 mark, confirming the handle’s support area. 

By month’s end, SOL was coiling for a potential breakout, with volatility compressing beneath $205.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum indicators were neutral to bullish. RSI hovered between 54 and 60, climbing slowly but avoiding overbought territory. MACD showed a slight positive divergence, supporting the bullish bias.

The cup-and-handle setup added further credibility to the continuation thesis, with volume decreasing through the handle, another classical bullish signal.

Technical Outlook

  • Immediate Resistance: $205, then $230

  • Key Support: $180, $160, and $148

Bullish Case: A breakout above $205, accompanied by increased volume, would activate the cup-and-handle pattern and open the door to targets of $230 and $250.

Bearish Case: A failure to hold $180 could drag SOL back toward the $160 zone, undermining the current bullish structure.

Summary

Solana displayed structural maturity in July, transitioning from impulse to consolidation with resilience. The bullish pattern formation suggests the possibility of a renewed rally. With strong support below and a clear breakout trigger, SOL remains one of the top altcoins to watch entering Q3.

Ripple (XRP)

Price Action and Chart Structure

Ripple recorded a powerful recovery in July, surging nearly 45% from lows around $2.19 to a high near $3.60. A breakout above the long-standing descending trendline marked a key shift in sentiment. The asset climbed steadily through the month, forming a bullish channel on the daily timeframe.

The move was driven partly by growing optimism around favorable legal outcomes and the prospect of an XRP ETF. XRP reclaimed critical resistance levels, closing the month near the upper boundary of its channel.

Momentum Indicators and Market Sentiment

Momentum indicators supported the uptrend. The MACD printed a sustained bullish crossover with a rising histogram. RSI trended between 58 and 66, reflecting growing buying strength.

Importantly, XRP’s structure showed no lower lows throughout the month, a key sign of trend reversal and structural integrity.

Technical Outlook

  • Immediate Resistance: $3.60, then $4.00

  • Support Zones: $3.10, $2.85, and $2.60

Bullish Case: A close above $3.60 would confirm channel continuation and potentially lead to a test of $4.00 or higher.

Bearish Case: Loss of $3.10 support may result in a fallback to the $2.85 consolidation base.

Summary

Ripple emerged in July as a high-momentum asset, regaining its place among market leaders. With technical structures confirming a shift in bias and resistance zones being challenged, XRP is positioned to sustain its recovery, pending continued legal clarity and breakout confirmation.

Dogecoin (DOGE)

Price Action and Fibonacci Mapping

Dogecoin remained range-bound for most of July, trading between $0.20 and $0.24. After finding support at $0.19, DOGE attempted to climb higher, retesting the $0.25 resistance area.

The daily chart revealed a symmetrical triangle pattern, often a sign of market indecision before a breakout.

Volume remained subdued, but Dogecoin showed signs of base-building above its short-term moving averages.

Momentum Indicators and Sentiment Shift

RSI hovered around 47 and 52, neither overbought nor oversold, but trending upward. MACD moved closer to a bullish crossover, though without clear confirmation by month-end.

Sentiment around meme assets was cautiously optimistic, with attention rotating back to DOGE as Bitcoin dominance cooled slightly. Market participants are positioned for potential volatility ahead.

Technical Outlook

  • Immediate Resistance: $0.25, then $0.30

  • Key Support: $0.20, then $0.18

Bullish Case: A breakout above $0.25 could activate a move to $0.30 or higher in quick succession.

Bearish Case: A breakdown below $0.20 may prompt a retest of deeper supports near $0.18.

Summary

Dogecoin held firm throughout July, compressing in a tightening range. While it has yet to break out, signs of accumulation and neutral indicators suggest DOGE may be nearing a directional move. Traders should watch for breakout confirmation, especially above $0.25.

Sui (SUI)

Price Action and Chart Structure

Sui had a strong showing in July, gaining over 20% and breaking above the $3.00 resistance zone. The daily chart displayed an ascending triangle, typically a bullish continuation pattern.

Mid-month, SUI spiked to $3.46 before retracing modestly to $3.20, where it found support and resumed its upward bias. The trendline from early May lows remained intact, confirming higher low formations.

Momentum Indicators

MACD remained bullish throughout the month, with consistent green histogram bars and an upward-sloping MACD line. RSI stayed elevated between 60-65, reinforcing the bullish case.

Sui also showed improved on-chain metrics and developer traction, which further boosted investor confidence.

Technical Outlook

  • Immediate Resistance: $3.50, then $4.00

  • Support Levels: $3.20, $2.90, and $2.60

Bullish Case: A breakout above $3.50 would signal fresh highs, potentially driving SUI toward $4.00-$4.20.

Bearish Case: A failure to hold $3.20 may trigger a pullback to $2.90 or lower.

Summary

Sui’s July rally reflected both fundamental strength and technical alignment. The ascending triangle remains the primary structure to watch. With momentum and sentiment aligned, SUI could become a major Layer 1 contender in Q3.

Also Read: Why Investors Should Be Careful with XRP in the Coming Months?

Pepe (PEPE)

Price Action and Chart Structure

PEPE experienced a volatile month, climbing rapidly early in July before retracing over 30% by month-end. The token peaked near its all-time high, but heavy profit-taking and macro jitters caused a steep correction.

Despite the pullback, PEPE established a rising channel on the 4-hour and daily charts. Price held the $0.000011 support region, suggesting buyers stepped in to defend the base.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum indicators remained mixed. MACD showed bearish divergence, though RSI stayed neutral around 48-52. Sentiment among meme coin traders remained speculative, though not entirely risk-off.

While daily volatility spiked, the broader structure preserved its upward tilt.

Technical Outlook

  • Immediate Resistance: $0.000015, then $0.000018

  • Support Levels: $0.000011, then $0.000009

Bullish Case: A bounce from support and reclaim of $0.000015 could reignite upside momentum.

Bearish Case: Loss of $0.000011 would expose PEPE to deeper corrections.

Summary

PEPE was a high-volatility asset in July, mirroring broader meme coin behavior. While structurally it remains intact, traders should treat it as a high-risk setup dependent on sentiment and short-term momentum shifts.

Binance Coin (BNB)

Price Structure and Chart Pattern

BNB traded in a steady ascending channel through July, finding support near $740 and resistance around $800. Price action was tightly coiled, hinting at a breakout setup.

The symmetrical triangle that began forming in late Q2 continued to develop. Volume remained consistent, and the price held above the 100-day EMA, suggesting healthy accumulation.

Momentum Indicators and Volume Analysis

MACD stayed modestly bullish, while RSI ranged between 55 and 60. The absence of parabolic price action reflected stable trend support.

As Binance’s ecosystem expanded in trading volume and product offerings, demand for BNB remained structurally firm.

Technical Outlook

  • Immediate Resistance: $800, then $850

  • Significant Support: $740, then $700

Bullish Scenario: A clean break above $800 with rising volume could propel BNB toward $900 and beyond.

Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold $740 support may result in a retest of the $700 consolidation base.

Summary

Binance Coin closed July with quiet strength. The triangle pattern and rising support suggest potential for breakout continuation. With consistent volume and ecosystem growth, BNB remains well-positioned as Q3 begins.

Cryptocurrency Market Summary - July 2025

CoinTrendPattern/SetupKey ResistanceKey SupportMomentum (MACD/RSI)Breakout Trigger
Bitcoin (BTC)Bullish ContinuationBullish Flag$121K - $130K$116K - $112KMACD Positive, RSI 67-73Daily close above $121K
Ethereum (ETH)Strong RallyGolden Cross / Breakout$3,940 - $4,150$3,600 - $3,250MACD Bullish, RSI ~65Break and hold above $4,000
Binance Coin (BNB)Neutral/BullishAscending Channel / Triangle$800 - $850$740 - $700MACD Slightly Positive, RSI 55-60Break above $800
Solana (SOL)Reversal SetupCup and Handle$205 - $230$180 - $160MACD Neutral-Bullish, RSI ~58Breakout from the handle above $205
Ripple (XRP)Bullish RecoveryChannel / Breakout$3.60 - $4.00$3.10 - $2.85MACD Bullish, RSI 58-66Daily close above $3.60
Dogecoin (DOGE)Range-BoundSymmetrical Triangle$0.25-$0.30$0.20 - $0.18MACD Near Cross, RSI ~50Close above $0.25
SUIBullish ContinuationAscending Triangle$3.50-$4.00$3.20 - $2.90MACD Strong, RSI 60-65Breakout above $3.50
PEPEVolatile RecoveryRising Channel (Weak)$0.000015- $0.000018$0.000011- $0.00009MACD Weakening, RSI 48-52Reclaim of $0.000015

Final Thoughts

July 2025 was a month of confirmation, acceleration, and structural strength across the cryptocurrency landscape.

Following June’s technical buildup, markets decisively broke out of consolidation, led by Bitcoin’s fresh all-time highs and Ethereum’s explosive Golden Cross-fueled rally.

The total crypto market cap surpassed $3 trillion, marking a significant psychological and technical milestone. Bitcoin held above key support and shifted into a bullish flag formation, while Ethereum climbed aggressively toward the $4,000 zone.

Together, they set the tone for capital to flow into altcoins, with Solana, SUI, and XRP among the top beneficiaries.

From a macro standpoint, continued monetary stability and easing regulatory tensions created fertile ground for trend development. Most top assets either confirmed or approached breakout levels, with Fibonacci clusters, EMA reclaims, and volume patterns aligning across timeframes.

Market sentiment has shifted to risk-on, with investors more willing to rotate into mid and lower-cap assets.

Memecoins like PEPE and Dogecoin showed mixed strength but reflected the growing appetite for speculative bets.

Market Structure Snapshot

  • Bitcoin broke through resistance and printed new highs, entering a flag-based continuation zone.

  • Ethereum approached its macro 0.786 Fib retracement level at $4,014, with institutional flows strengthening the trend.

  • Solana and Sui displayed breakout patterns, indicating Layer 1s may dominate the next wave.

  • XRP reclaimed trendline resistance and neared its prior cycle highs.

  • Binance Coin and Dogecoin maintained healthy bases, signaling readiness for lagging breakouts.

  • PEPE remained volatile but technically constructive, offering speculative upside if momentum returns.

Key Themes to Watch in August

  • High-Volume Breakouts: Confirmation across the board requires volume expansion, especially as assets test decade highs.

  • Rotation Acceleration: Altcoins are poised to absorb capital if Bitcoin remains range-bound above $117K.

  • Macro Continuity: Barring economic disruptions, the technicals may continue to dictate price action.

  • ETF and Regulatory Momentum: Ethereum ETF flows and favorable legal developments for XRP and others may act as catalysts.

To sum up, July delivered on the promise of June’s setup phase. As bullish structures continue to evolve and resistance zones give way, the crypto market may be preparing for its most substantial rally leg of the 2025 cycle. The groundwork is laid; the follow-through now lies in the hands of price and participation.

Also Read: Crypto Prices Today: Bitcoin Price at $115,566, Ethereum $4,342 as Solana Sinks 5.36%

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