On Monday, October 13th, 2025, the Indian stock market is expected to have a cautious opening due to increasing tensions between the US and China, weighing on global investor sentiment. 

President Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese imports, which has sparked fear of a prolonged trade conflict, pushing Asian markets lower and signaling a weak start for domestic equities.

Opening Trends and Global Cues

As per early trends from Gift Nifty, a gap-down opening is likely for the Indian indices, with the index at 25,325, around 86 points lower than the last Nifty futures close.

Friday saw Sensex rise by 328.72 points (0.40%) to settle at 82,500.82, Nifty 50 also appreciated by 103.55 points (0.41%) to close at 25,285.35. Short-term trend remains positive, but the global uncertainties may act as a barrier to the upside in the near future.

Sensex Outlook

The technical indicators suggest that Sensex is still on an upward trend, trading well above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA).

The 81,700 mark will act as a key support zone. As long as Sensex stays above 81,700, the uptrend is intact. On the higher side, the index could rise toward 82,900-83,100, and potentially 83,700.

In contrast, a fall below 81,700 could cause a shift to the downside in the short term, with the next support being at 82,000-81,900 and the next resistance at 82,700-82,900.

Nifty 50 Outlook

For the second straight week, Nifty 50 made a bullish candle, backed up by a cup-and-handle formation on the weekly chart.

According to analysts, the underlying trend remains positive, with the index likely to move toward 25,400-25,450, provided it holds above 25,150.

Momentum indicators such as MACD and RSI support a bullish bias. A sustained move above 25,400 may open room for 25,600, while support has shifted higher to 25,050-25,100 zones.

Bank Nifty Outlook

On Friday, Bank Nifty gained 417 points (0.74%) to close at 56,609.75, forming an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a bullish reversal signal.

Technical analysts expect the index to test 57,200-58,000 in the near term and 56,000-55,900 as the support zone.

MACD and RSI are showing strengthening momentum and thus promoting a buy-on-dips strategy.

Also Read: How Taxes Affect Your Stock Market Gains: A Beginner’s Guide

Market Drivers

The easing of tensions in the Middle East and renewed India-US trade discussions are seen as positive developments, while foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have switched to the buying side, adding Rs. 2,830 crore during the last three sessions.

However, September’s mutual fund outflows and upcoming retail inflation data could introduce volatility. Overall, analysts expect range-bound trade with a positive bias, supported by Q2 earnings optimism, selective sectoral strength, and resilient domestic liquidity despite global headwinds.