Bitcoin price remains stable near $107,800, showing resilience despite recent global tensions.
Institutional adoption through ETFs and government reserves is strengthening Bitcoin’s position in the crypto market.
Key support at $105K and resistance at $112K define Bitcoin’s near-term trading range.
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to capture global attention as its price moves between important levels. As of June 26, 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $107,800, showing a mild daily gain of about 1.25%. The price touched a high of $108,146 and a low of $106,405 during intraday trading. This comes after weeks of consolidation, where Bitcoin price has stayed mostly between $106,000 and $108,000, following a brief surge to nearly $112,000 in May.
The recent movements in Bitcoin price have been influenced by both global events and internal crypto market developments. Understanding these trends, technical signals, and what may lie ahead helps provide a clearer picture for investors and market watchers.
Over the last month, the Bitcoin price has shown resilience. After hitting a high close of $112,000 in May, the digital asset faced a brief decline, touching around $99,200 on June 22. This dip represented about a 4% pullback but was quickly followed by a recovery. The rebound pushed the price back above $106,000, where it has stayed in a relatively tight trading range.
This pattern of sharp declines followed by swift recoveries shows how Bitcoin remains sensitive to both global events and technical trading levels.
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Several major factors have shaped Bitcoin’s recent price action:
A ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel brought relief to global markets. This eased tensions in the region and improved risk appetite across different asset classes, including Bitcoin. As tensions cooled, more investors moved into riskier assets like Bitcoin, driving up its price.
The US dollar has recently shown weakness, trading near one-year lows. When the dollar weakens, alternative assets such as Bitcoin often gain strength. This is because Bitcoin is seen by some as a hedge against currency devaluation.
Although the ceasefire boosted sentiment, earlier military actions and tensions in the region had caused sharp, short-term price swings. Bitcoin saw brief periods of volatility but managed to recover quickly, showing resilience.
In the United States, the government now holds around 200,000 Bitcoins as part of its new strategic reserve policy. States like Texas have also started setting up their own Bitcoin reserves. These moves are seen as a sign that Bitcoin is becoming more integrated into mainstream financial planning.
Large financial companies like BlackRock have expanded their crypto exchange-traded fund (ETF) offerings. BlackRock’s Spot Bitcoin Trust, for example, has grown to about $70 billion in assets under management. This shows growing institutional interest in Bitcoin.
Some firms, like ProCap Financial, are raising large sums of money (around $750 million) to buy and hold Bitcoin. They aim to profit from lending and trading Bitcoin while holding it as a long-term treasury asset.
Crypto kiosks or ATMs have seen increased fraud cases, leading to new rules in several states. While this adds oversight, it also reflects how the crypto sector is becoming more regulated as adoption grows.
Looking at the Bitcoin price chart, several technical signals stand out:
The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is around $105,150. This line has turned upwards recently and is providing support. As long as Bitcoin stays above this level, the short-term trend is likely to remain stable.
Bitcoin has been moving in a wide trading band, between about $98,200 and $111,980. A move beyond this range — either above the top or below the bottom — could signal the next big price shift.
In the short term, the Bitcoin price pattern looks slightly bearish. However, the ability to bounce back from lows near $99,000 shows that buyers are still active.
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In the short run, Bitcoin price may continue to move sideways between $104,000 and $108,000 unless a strong trigger pushes it out of this range. If Bitcoin falls below $99,000, the next area of support may be between $94,000 and $96,000. On the other hand, if Bitcoin can rise above $112,000 and hold, it could open the door for a move toward $120,000 or higher.
Several research groups and analysts have shared their forecasts for Bitcoin:
By the end of June 2025, Bitcoin is expected to trade between $95,000 and $120,000 according to many market watchers.
For the remainder of 2025, some experts see the price reaching as high as $168,000 if positive momentum continues.
Looking further ahead, forecasts for 2030 place the Bitcoin price in the range of $386,000 to $901,000, as adoption grows and supply remains limited.
Some investors believe Bitcoin could hit even higher numbers by 2040, with some long-term estimates mentioning prices above $1 million per Bitcoin.
Market sentiment toward Bitcoin appears cautiously positive. There is strong interest from institutional investors, as shown by ETF inflows and strategic reserves. This has helped to stabilize the Bitcoin price during periods of market stress. However, Bitcoin’s well-known price volatility means that sharp moves remain possible, especially during major global events or regulatory changes.
Investors continue to view Bitcoin as both a speculative asset and a potential store of value. The growing connection between Bitcoin and mainstream finance, through reserves and ETFs, is also helping to shape a more supportive environment for its price.