Bitcoin Futures Pivot to Long Positions — Is $112K the Next Stop?

Bitcoin Futures Pivot to Long Positions — Is $112K the Next Stop?
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Bitcoin's Current Price Landscape

Bitcoin is currently trading around $108,968, maintaining a solid range after a sharp recovery from the mid-June dip. The price action follows the strongest weekly candle close in months, confirming post-halving strength. 

Despite a minor pullback to $107,300, bulls are holding the line at key technical support levels. This consolidation reflects a classic accumulation phase before a potential breakout. Analysts are closely watching how this range resolves heading into mid-July.

Source: 24H Chart - Bitcoin - Coingecko
Source: 24H Chart - Bitcoin - Coingecko

Open Interest Surges in Futures

One of the best indicators of market sentiment is the behavior of futures traders. In the last 30 days, Bitcoin's aggregate open interest (OI) has increased by more than 7%, the first sustained increase after the previous 12% drawdown. This spike suggests that new capital is now entering the derivatives market, betting on upside momentum. Increases in OI with a flat price is usually a sign that there are new long positions rather than aggressive short covering. It's a subtle but powerful indicator of renewed bullish appetite.

Bitcoin Futures Market Power v2.0 Indicator

Data from researcher Axel Adler Jr. shows that the Bitcoin Futures Market Power v2.0—a composite of OI, funding rates, and taker aggression—now sits at 22,000. While this is well below the euphoric 80,000+ readings seen in previous rallies, it marks the first positive score since May. In the past similar readings in the exaggerated 20,000's have been close to local bottoms with the commencement of strong upward moves off of them. This just lends to the story that Bitcoin is ready to make another leg up.

Funding Rates and Taker Aggression Metrics

Funding rates across major exchanges remain neutral to slightly positive, showing a well-balanced sentiment with no over-leveraging being detected. Such increasing buy-side taker volumes over their sell counterparts are a sign of rising confidence in a price upside continuation from market participants. Unlike overheated markets with high leverage working toward heavy/liquidations, these forces are for the healthy-forward rally. Those signals favor the alternative, which corresponds with the increasing prevalence of the long-side bias in both spot and futures markets.

BTC's Equal Lows Liquidity Trap at $107K

Despite the bullish setup, a near-term dip remains on the table. Bitcoin has formed equal lows around the $107,300 zone—a classic resting liquidity level. Smart money often targets such zones to trap late shorts and gather liquidity before a breakout. A sweep down to $107,000 or even $106,300 would not invalidate the bullish thesis. In fact, a strong bounce from that region would further solidify bullish momentum and flush out weak hands ahead of a potential breakout.

Memecoin and Altcoin Rotation Unlocked

The rise in net-long exposure to $27.4 million marks at least 24 hours of sustaining a long-side position above zero--a metric that strongly points to sustained optimism and not trades made on whim. Traders are currently fronting positions to benefit from what they anticipate as a breakout out of the $109,500 resistance zone to test $112,000. Slow building of long positions instead of an explosive rally definitely suggests confidence in structural strength rather than speculative froth. This particular observation is being eyed by memecoin investors, particularly in presales, such as FloppyPEPE. A BTC breakout here could catalyze a huge altcoin run.

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FloppyPEPE Gathers Speed Amid Market Rotation

As Bitcoin consolidates, meme-fi tokens are emerging as speculative favorites—and FloppyPEPE (FPPE) is leading the charge. With over $2.5 million raised in its presale, FPPE blends cultural virality with real tools like FloppyAI for meme generation, Meme-o-matic for automated content deployment, and the upcoming DEX platform FloppyX. Its community-driven growth on Telegram and X reflects a shift toward tokens that empower creators rather than just entertain. Early investors are also taking advantage of the FLOPPY100 bonus, which boosts token allocations and incentivizes participation. In a landscape chasing both utility and humor, FloppyPEPE is quietly becoming a standout rotation play.

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What to Watch: Trading Volume and Breakout Confirmation

For a confirmed breakout, traders want to see volume expansion along with price movement. The $109,500 level remains the key resistance; a strong candle above that mark on high volume would likely send Bitcoin quickly toward $112K. Additionally, confirmation across futures OI, funding rate spikes, and strong taker-side aggression will act as secondary confirmation. As capital flows into higher-risk assets, meme-fi tokens like FloppyPEPE, which combines meme virality with creator tools, could become breakout beneficiaries.

Altcoin Impact if BTC Breaks $112K

A decisive move above $112,000 would likely kickstart a full-scale altcoin rally, mirroring previous cycles. Ethereum and Solana would lead the first rotation, but retail appetite typically spills into low-cap and presale tokens. Tokens offering both hype and functionality—like FloppyPEPE with its FloppyAI and Meme-o-matic tools—are positioned to thrive. This environment favors tokens that combine meme appeal with real utility, setting the stage for a powerful altcoin season.

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