Crude Oil Prices: Brent crude traded near USD 106.7 per barrel on September 28, and oil rebounded again as hopes faded for a US-Iran resolution. India imports most of its oil, so costly crude raises inflation fears, widens the import bill and squeezes company margins.
US Bond Yields: The US 10-year Treasury yield ended September 25 at 5.17%. Higher yields make American bonds more attractive, so global investors pull money out of emerging markets like India. A higher discount rate also lowers the price investors will pay for future earnings.
FII Selling: Foreign investors were net sellers in 15 of 20 September trading days, offloading about USD 2.7 billion worth of Indian stocks, according to Reuters. Their total sales for 2026 have reached roughly USD 26.75 billion, which keeps a lid on any market recovery.
Weak Rupee: A weaker currency, expensive crude and high global yields have added to the market's macro concerns. A falling rupee cuts dollar returns for foreign investors, which encourages more selling and raises import costs for Indian companies and households at the same time.
Seven-Week Losing Streak: The Nifty has recorded seven consecutive weekly declines, its longest losing run since the Covid-19 sell-off in 2020. It closed at 22,716.20 on September 29, down about 5.7% for the month, which keeps buyers cautious, sentiment weak and traders waiting for a clear signal.