Strong global shifts are expected to give Dalal Street a positive start on Wednesday, August 5. The possible US-Iran agreement is bringing back investor confidence, along with lower crude oil prices. The easing of geopolitical tension declined the price of crude oil to approximately $74 per barrel from previously $75 per barrel. This positive sentiment is reflected in 24,700 in early trade of GIFT Nifty.
About the improved investor sentiments, Ponmudi R, CEO at Enrich Money, said, “While the recent decline in crude oil prices reflects growing optimism over a potential normalization of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, investors are likely to remain cautious until there is greater clarity on the evolving geopolitical situation.”
He further added, “Attention is firmly focused on the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decision due this morning.” Notably, RBI’s decision arrived on Wednesday morning, following a three-day meeting, and the central bank kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.25% to control instability in the market.
This morning Asian equities are trading firmly higher, tracking Wall Street's second consecutive session of record gains. South Korea's Kospi deserves a special mention with gains of more than 4%. Japan's Nikkei 225 progressed 3.15% in the same timeframe. Similarly, the small-cap Kosdaq is up 2.4%, and the broader Topix has gained 1.4%.
Traders are not lowering their guard, despite the positive start. The reported US-Iran deal is not yet finalized, and any change in the situation could quickly impact global markets. Investors will also eye crude oil prices, foreign investment flows and upcoming economic data for direction.
However, the mood is still upbeat. Lower oil prices, a strong rally on Wall Street and positive cues from GIFT Nifty have created a better environment for Indian stocks. Dalal Street may continue to hold its positive momentum in the coming sessions if global conditions stay stable.