XRP is still capped below the crucial $1.50 resistance zone even as institutional inflows reflect strong underlying demand. The token trades at $1.47 with 0.03% increase in the last 24 hours. It is still struggling for momentum despite expanding adoption and ETF inflows.
The sustained demand for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is a primary element that supports XRP's medium-term outlook. Since the launch of US XRP-spot ETFs it has attracted total net inflows of $1.23 billion.
The Grayscale XRP ETF(GXRP) has achieved $131.46 million in inflows since its introduction in November 2025 which shows institutional confidence.
Ripple's business growth together with its US banking license has created a positive impact on the token's real-world usage. This leads to constructive medium-term price expectations.
The token shows increased sensitivity to US Market Structure Bill developments which are currently being reviewed by the Senate.
The previous legislative momentum triggered around 15% rally in a single day and it shows how regulatory progress shifts public opinion.
The Senate voting delays from earlier caused a major decrease. It brought the value down from $2.4151 in January to $1.1227 in early February.
The Senate vote confirmation together with the bill's passage will act as a driving force that can take XRP to $2.50 within the next four to eight weeks.
The upcoming White House discussions about stablecoin yields also continue to add immediate uncertainty.
The Federal Reserve's rate path expectations directly impact both liquidity conditions and investors' risk appetite.
The Bank of Japan's evolving guidance about its neutral rate could affect global capital movements through its impact on yen carry trade operations.
Strong US economic data, legislative delays and persistent ETF outflows will create downward pressure that makes it more likely for XRP to test the $1.00 psychological support level.
Also Read: Is XRP Undervalued in 2026 or Still Exposed to Legal and Macro Risks?
XRP broke above the lower trendline boundary of a falling wedge on Saturday and declined slightly the next day, finding support around it. XRP has stabilized around this trendline so far this week.
As of Wednesday, XRP trades at $1.47. If XRP closes below the lower trendline, it could extend the decline toward the weekly support at $1.30.
XRP’s momentum indicators remain divergent, with RSI pointing to building bearish pressure while the MACD continues to signal underlying bullish momentum.
Conversely, if the lower trendline boundary holds as support, it could extend the recovery toward the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.71.
On the upside, resistance is at $1.50, followed by $2.00. A sustained move above $1.50 could signal the start of a near-term trend reversal.