Ripple’s native token XRP is still facing selling pressure as risk sentiment across the world worsens with the escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The asset now trades at $1.42, and this marks a 4.67% increase from 4 March 2026, yesterday’s $1.35.
Recovery is still uncertain as the tensions in the Middle East continue to be in the headlines. Rising geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of higher oil prices weigh heavily on risk assets.
According to CoinGlass, XRP Open Interest fell from $660 million in October 2025 to just $203 million by March 3, 2026. It is a drop of $457 million.
Open Interest stood at $3.56 billion in early January 2026, and this is already a 66% decline from its July 2025 peak of $10.94 billion.
Binance, which accounts for a large share of XRP derivatives activity, has seen open interest fall below $270 million. These levels were last seen in April 2025.
A decrease in Open Interest usually signals liquidation in the market. It is a reflection of investors leaving and an overall decline in demand.
According to SoSoValue, XRP ETFs recorded $18.68 million in weekly inflows, while cumulative inflows reached $1.26 billion.
Across the broader market, digital asset investment products recorded $1 billion in inflows last week, ending a five-week outflow streak totaling roughly $4 billion, according to CoinShares.
Addresses actively transacting on the XRP Ledger corrected to approximately 18,000, with a brief spike to 21,500. The high figure quickly came down as demand declined.
Separately, social dominance, a measure of XRP's discussion relative to other cryptocurrencies, has also declined over recent months, another sign of fading retail interest.
While retail participation has remained low and recovery attempts have repeatedly failed, XRP avoided a deeper breakdown through 2025 primarily due to persistent institutional demand.
However, data from the XRP Rich List shows more than 6 million XRP wallets hold 500 XRP or fewer, while acquiring 1,000 XRP now costs roughly $2,000, pricing out most retail participants.
XRP is trading higher, rising above $1.41 from the daily open of $1.36. Momentum indicators such as the RSI and MACD support the short-term bullish bias.
The RSI is at 47 on the daily chart and is pointing upward, suggesting that bearish momentum is easing as buyers push to regain control.
Moreover, the MACD remains above its signal line, while green histogram bars expand, hinting at a potentially steady momentum.
Still, immediate resistance lies around $1.49, followed by the 50-day EMA at $1.57, followed by $1.61.
A daily close above this supply range would be needed to soften the bearish tone and open the door toward the 100-day EMA at $1.79 and then the 200-day EMA at $2.03.
Also Read: What if XRP Surged to $2,500? Strong Reasons Investors Should Consider
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