Bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Stalls at $ 104,000: What's Next?

BTC Pauses Near $104K: Technical Analysis and Institutional Buying Signal Mixed Outlook

Written By : Bhavesh Maurya

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin is consolidating between $103K and $106K, forming a potential bullish pattern.

  • Institutional buying from MicroStrategy and Metaplanet reflects strong long-term sentiment.

  • A breakout above $106K could signal a move toward $112K; failure risks a drop below $100K.

As of June 3, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering within a tight range, trading between $103,997 and $105,348. The leading cryptocurrency is showing signs of short-term consolidation following a retracement from recent highs, with a market capitalization of around $2.09 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $47 billion. 

The quiet movement for the past week reflects growing investor caution and chart patterns that hint at a possible change in Bitcoin’s direction.

Technical Overview: Tight Range Signals Decision Point

On the hourly chart, Bitcoin is consolidating between $103,804 and $106,530. Price action shows an early-stage formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, typically a bullish reversal signal. The volume is slightly picking up on green candles, suggesting possible accumulation, with bulls aiming for a breakout above the $106,000 zone.

However, a drop below $103,000 would negate this setup, increasing the likelihood of further downside. Short-term traders are closely watching this zone for a clearer signal on direction.

4-Hour Chart: Bearish Structure Faces Critical Resistance

Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart continues to reflect a descending trend, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, since it peaked near $110,790. The current structure suggests a bearish bias, but the ability to hold above $103,000 may indicate bottoming behavior. A reclaim of the $106,000 level is essential to shift sentiment in favor of buyers and invalidate the downtrend.

Daily Chart: Healthy Pullback in a Long-Term Uptrend

BTC remains in a macro uptrend, having rallied from around $92,846 to nearly $112,000 before experiencing a pullback to the current $ 105,000 zone.

The technical structure is sound, with long-term exponential moving averages trending upward, indicating continued institutional support and bullish momentum. 

However, short-term EMAs indicate slight bearish pressure, suggesting consolidation within the broader uptrend. A bullish reversal pattern and stronger volume in the $104,000 - $106,000 zone would be ideal confirmation for a new leg higher.

Momentum & Indicators: Neutral Bias Holds

  • RSI: Neutral at 53.45, signaling balanced pressure.

  • MACD: Bearish divergence remains, and momentum is weak.

Most indicators highlight a neutral-to-bearish tone for the short term, reinforcing the need for confirmation above key resistance levels.

Institutional Interest: MicroStrategy Adds to Holdings

Institutional sentiment remains a core pillar of Bitcoin's long-term strength. On June 2, 2025, MicroStrategy announced the acquisition of 705 BTC to its holdings at $75.1 million, further bolstering its already massive crypto holdings. 

This purchase, amid a market pullback, reflects confidence from major firms in Bitcoin's long-term value proposition.

Additionally, Japanese firm Metaplanet recently added 1,088 BTC to its balance sheet, now holding a total of 8,888 BTC, underscoring the growing trend of corporate accumulation during dips.

Also Read: Bitcoin ETF Flows Cool Off, But Accumulation Hints at Strength

What’s Next for Bitcoin?

Bullish Scenario

A confirmed breakout above $106,000 with increased volume would validate the inverse head and shoulders pattern on the hourly chart and likely push BTC toward the $110,000 - $112,000 range. Long-term support from institutional buyers and positive signals from the daily trend provide a solid foundation for this scenario.

Bearish Scenario

Failure to reclaim $106,000 or a breakdown below $103,000 could lead to a deeper correction. Short-term moving averages and weak momentum indicators point to the risk of renewed selling pressure, potentially dragging prices below $100,000.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s price consolidation reflects a market in transition. While long-term fundamentals and institutional confidence remain strong, short-term technicals demand caution. Traders should watch the $103,000 - $106,000 range closely, as the breakout direction could define BTC’s path in the sessions ahead.

Also Read: Bitcoin Reserves for the Bank of England? Michael Saylor and Reform UK Push for Change

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